Market AnalysisECB to cut by 25bp this week – focus is on signalling what's to comeadminFffFF0or31rMarch 4, 2025 by adminFffFF0or31rMarch 4, 2025011 Deutsche Bank forecasts that the European Central Bank (ECB) will lower its policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on March 6, bringing the...
Market AnalysisThe Fed has a bit less ammunition: What's next for marketsadminFffFF0or31rFebruary 12, 2025 by adminFffFF0or31rFebruary 12, 2025016 Today’s CPI report was hot and that’s driven big US dollar gains and a 1% drop in S&P 500 futures. Will that move extend? I...
Market AnalysisFed's Goolsbee: What's happening in long-term rates is more the Treasury's purviewadminFffFF0or31rFebruary 7, 2025 by adminFffFF0or31rFebruary 7, 2025018 Goolsbee has been relentlessly hitting the news circuit lately. I think it will take longer than year-end to get to neutral level As inflation comes...
Market AnalysisWhat's the takeaway from the Fed yesterday?adminFffFF0or31rJanuary 30, 2025 by adminFffFF0or31rJanuary 30, 2025018 The FOMC meeting decision was as expected and the Fed made no new approaches to their next decision in March as well. Traders are now...
Market AnalysisWhat's priced in ahead of the FOMC MinutesadminFffFF0or31rJanuary 8, 2025 by adminFffFF0or31rJanuary 8, 2025025 The comments today from Waller indicate that he still sees inflation falling to 2%. That’s not the kind of thing you hear before a central...
Market AnalysisWhat's the next step for major central banks in 2025?adminFffFF0or31rDecember 24, 2024 by adminFffFF0or31rDecember 24, 2024027 Let’s dive straight into it with the first meeting date and what market players are pricing in for that. Fed: 29 January (~91% probability of...