Australian Employment Fell in February, Raising RBA Rate Cut Odds
Australia’s labor market took a hit in February, with employment falling by 52,800. That’s worse than the expected 30,000 job gain! This also marked a...
Tag : odds
USD/JPY Price Analysis: BoJ Caution Tempers Rate Hike Odds
The USD/JPY price analysis indicates a slight decline in BoJ rate hike expectations. The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged as expected on Wednesday....
EUR/USD Price Analysis: Inflation Outlook Halts Rate Cut Odds
The EUR/USD price analysis indicates a decline in ECB rate cut expectations. The European Central Bank lowered borrowing costs by 25-bps as expected. Market participants...
BOE odds hardly changed after the UK CPI report yesterday
A March rate cut was never in contention and still isn’t following what looks to be a hotter UK CPI report yesterday here. But as...
AUD/USD Outlook: Market Optimism Oversights RBA Cut Odds
The AUD/USD outlook shows a strong Aussie despite growing RBA rate cut bets. Trump’s reciprocal tariff will not come immediately. Market participants are looking forward...
AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Rate Cut Odds Grow as Inflation Eases
Australia’s CPI increased by 0.2% in the fourth quarter, missing estimates. Traders are pricing an 80% chance of an RBA rate cut in February. Market...
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Upbeat Data Relieves ECB Cut Odds
The impact of Trump’s tariff threats faded during the week. Data on Friday revealed a significant improvement in Eurozone business activity. Economists expect the US...
Traders step up odds of BOE rate cut for next month
That compares with ~62% odds before we got the softer UK CPI report here. Looking out to the entirety of this year, traders are pricing...
USD/JPY Price Analysis: Yen Climbs on BoJ Tightening Odds
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a likely rate hike. The US PPI increased by 0.2%, well below estimates of a 0.4% increase. Traders...
AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Rate Cut Odds Up After Easing CPI
Australia’s consumer inflation jumped by 2.3% in November. Underlying inflation in Australia dropped from 3.5% to 3.2%. US job openings unexpectedly rose in November to...